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Semafor Signals

Biden leaves successor with unfinished business in China, Middle East

Aug 20, 2024, 9:36am EDT
North America
Kevin Wurm/Reuters
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The News

US President Joe Biden defended his legacy and decades of service to the country in a rousing speech Monday, the opening night of the Democratic National Convention in Chicago. Touting his record at home and abroad, Biden emphasized his part in rebuilding America’s role on the world stage.

That legacy could carry party foreign policy forward after Biden steps away in January: In a 92-page platform document also released Monday, a chapter on foreign policy talks up the Biden administration’s effort to repair the US’ credibility and influence on the world stage, and criticized isolationism.

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But Biden’s global legacy is complicated, analysts noted, by ongoing conflicts in the Middle East and mounting tension with China that remain unresolved.

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SIGNALS

Semafor Signals: Global insights on today's biggest stories.

More work needed to avert ‘accidental catastrophe’ with China

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Sources:  
Foreign Affairs, The New York Times

The Democrats’ platform is built on the Biden administration’s vision of a US-China relationship based on competition without conflict. But Washington’s rivalry with Beijing is perhaps more dangerous to the world order than the Cold War, and has involved none of the de-escalation tactics used then to successfully prevent “accidental catastrophe,” former US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice argued in Foreign Affairs. While Biden worked hard to foster partnerships in the Indo-Pacific, they lack the “muscle memory” of the Western NATO alliance, The New York Times noted. He also made no progress to curb North Korea and Iran’s nuclear ambitions, which are now “homework for his successor,” a Seoul-based political scientist told the outlet.

Gaza could define Biden legacy in Middle East

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Sources:  
The Washington Institute, The New Arab

Biden has worked to promote “regional integration” in the Middle East and isolate Iran through Israeli-Saudi normalization, but the work isn’t done — both at home and in the region — a research fellow at pro-Israel think tank The Washington Institute for Near East Policy argued. Riyadh still wants assurances on a two-state solution for Israel and Palestine, and in the US, Democrats remain worried about the Kingdom’s ties to Big Oil and the Republicans, as well as its human rights record. Meanwhile, Biden’s apparent “colossal failure” to temper Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in the Gaza war could overshadow future US policy, and damage the US’ credibility to lead on human rights issues long-term, two international relations experts told The New Arab.

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