• D.C.
  • BXL
  • Lagos
  • Riyadh
  • Beijing
  • SG
  • D.C.
  • BXL
  • Lagos
Semafor Logo
  • Riyadh
  • Beijing
  • SG


icon

Semafor Signals

North Korea projects military strength as risk of new Korean war seem ‘higher than ever’

Updated Oct 17, 2024, 4:47am EDT
East Asia
KCNA via Reuetrs
PostEmailWhatsapp
Title icon

The News

North Korea said it had recruited more than a million young people to join the state army this week, according to state media, which is now portraying a potential war against South Korea as “sacred.”

It is the latest escalation in tensions between the two neighboring nations after Kim Jong Un, the North’s leader, blew up a road near the southern border and threatened to cut all ties with Seoul in retaliation for allegedly scattering leaflets over Pyongyang using drones.

AD

Meanwhile, Kyiv said Wednesday that North Korea has sent weapons and troops to aid Russia’s war against Ukraine, an indication of the strength of the North’s international ties and an apparent opportunity for it to gain battlefield experience.

icon

SIGNALS

Semafor Signals: Global insights on today's biggest stories.

North Korea increasingly evading sanctions with Russia’s help

Source icon
Sources:  
The Wall Street Journal, Reuters

North Korea’s alignment with Russia and China is putting a spotlight on the apparent limits of the United Nations’ power to curb its military ambitions. By sending weapons and, according to Kyiv, even soldiers to Russia, North Korea’s partnership with Moscow brings in much needed income, and also allows the regime to gain battlefield experience, analysts say. The White House has previously warned that Russia could keep North Korea “in business for years,” helping it distribute arms all over the world. Russia backed the abolition of a UN team that oversaw sanctions on North Korea, and while other multinational monitors may be effective, an international legal analyst told Reuters they would likely “lack the international legitimacy” of the UN.

Koreas drift further apart as risk of war heightens

Source icon
Sources:  
Foreign Policy, The New York Times, Atlantic Council

Analysts warn that the risk of war between North and South Korea is “higher than ever.” Earlier this year, North Korea abolished offices that work on improving ties with the South and removed references to reunification its media guidelines: “The North has faced self-contradiction when it threatened to level ​and use its nuclear weapons ​against fellow countrymen,” an analyst told The New York Times. “That contradiction is removed when ​the North… defines the South as an enemy state,” he added. Beyond the peninsula, there is an additional risk of a coordinated two-front war in Asia, the Atlantic Council wrote recently, with North Korea targeting the South and China targeting Taiwan — ignoring such a possibility may be “sleepwalking toward Armageddon,” Foreign Policy argued.

AD