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In today’s edition, an interview with UK Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves on changing regul͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌ 
 
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January 23, 2025
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Liz Hoffman
Liz Hoffman

Hi from Davos, where we’ve just wrapped a week of events, meetings, and printed a daily newspaper! (Please see my first, and likely only, Page One byline for Semafor — a eulogy for Davos Man.)

“CEOs are trained animals, trained on adrenaline,” the chief executive of a US-based multinational company told me this week. “We don’t like the calm.”

I think that’s an underappreciated part of the business community’s embrace of Donald Trump. CEOs live pretty scripted professional lives. They’re trained to tell investors nothing, read prepared texts for town halls, and stick to talking points on TV. Now they see Trump speaking freely, and with few consequences, and the things they’ve been saying privately to themselves for the past few years — or occasionally off the record to journalists — feel good to now say out loud. Corporate America is unshackled, and the mics are everywhere.

That went well enough for most of them here at Davos this week. Not quite for Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan, who was among a handful of corporate executives chosen to ask a question to Trump during his videoconference appearance. He lobbed a softball — how will Trump be “successful in continuing GDP growth, bringing down inflation, and also having a good stock price appreciation for the American citizen” — only to be chastised for, of all things, being too woke. A reminder that while CEOs are giddy with financial-free-for-all fervor, they should probably buckle up.

Plus, can the UK regulators get it together? And the three letters largely missing from CEO conversations at Davos: ESG.

Buy/Sell
Shoppers Inside Walmart Store in California.
Bob Riha, Jr./Getty Images

➚ BUY: Middle management. Walmart is hiking manager pay to as much as $600,000 (a concession that the war for talent is more keenly felt than ever in storefronts and retail environments) even as it, like many other companies, cuts back on corporate staffing levels.

➘ SELL: Middle market. Small caps just can’t close the performance gap against their bigger brethren. The S&P 600 Small Cap Index trails the S&P 500 by about 13% over the last year. While a lot of those large-cap gains are thanks to a handful of companies, it’s not a great time to be a middle-market value investor.

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The Tape

Trump rehashes America First hits at Davos… Shine rubs off obesity drugs… American Airlines whiffs… CNN plans layoffs… Silicon Valley’s favorite banker may join his clients at DOGE

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Three-letter Word
The Goldman Sachs building in Wall Street, New York.
Lucas Jackson/Reuters

The big idea at Davos was the one nobody talked about.

“I think that’s the first time I’ve heard ‘ESG’ since I’ve been here,” Chris Womack, the CEO of utility giant Southern Co., said when I asked him this week about the changing politics of the movement, which has retreated from a 2022 high tide.

For years, Davos was the main stage for corporate do-gooderism, and companies used the event to unveil big pledges on climate, social responsibility, and diversity. “The tree is a bipartisan issue,” Salesforce CEO Marc Benioff said in 2020, when he wrangled 300 companies to plant a trillion of them.

This year, ESG was essentially absent, aside from everyone talking about how little everyone was talking about it. “We’re still committed to net zero by 2050, but the conversation has changed,” Womack told me. For context, his company just built the first nuclear plant in the US in 30 years but is also bullish on coal.

The language has changed, too: The consensus from a roundtable with corporate chief sustainability officers was that an ESG badly needs a rebrand. The best suggestion I heard this week actually came from private equity: EQT’s chief executive, Christian Sinding, called it “future-proofing,” which sounds both techy and responsible.

One to watch: Costco shareholders vote today on a proposal from a conservative group that would force the global retailer to make a business case for its diversity efforts. Costco has credibility in the workforce arena that few companies do: It pays among the highest wages in the retail industry and has famously low employee turnover.

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London Calling
Britain’s Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves attends an interview with Reuters during the 55th annual World Economic Forum.
Yves Herman/Reuters

UK Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves said the regulatory focus is now on “growth, not just for risk,” — part of a charm offensive meant to bring new global investment to Britain and keep its restive corporate giants from fleeing.

“We’ve told our regulators they need to regulate for growth, not just for risk,” Reeves told Semafor in an interview, days after the Labour government sacked a top antitrust regulator, which she called “a recognition that this government has got a different strategic approach.”

The UK is facing the bill from Brexit: a stagnated and isolated economy, soaring borrowing costs, and a frustrated corporate class. Investors have demanded steep interest rates to hold its bonds, eating into Reeves’ budgetary leeway and amping up pressure on its new government to either cut spending or raise taxes — neither option politically attractive. Ray Dalio warned this week that Britain risked a “debt death spiral.”

“The most important way to make debt sustainable is to grow the economy,” Reeves said.

London lost 70 public companies last year via takeovers or transfers to US exchanges, where stock valuations are higher and — importantly — executive pay is much higher. One-third of British CEOs have considered relisting their businesses outside of the country, according to a Teneo survey.

“There’s no silver bullet,” London Stock Exchange Group CEO David Schwimmer said in an interview. “The pension fund situation in the UK has been 20 years in the making, so we’re not going to fix that overnight. But over the next few years I think you could see a meaningful impact.

Still, the LSEG chief noted, there were “some myths that need to be busted” about Britain’s capital markets: chiefly, that companies can fix perceived valuation gaps by relisting in New York.

“If you look at the performance of [formerly UK-listed] companies that have gone to the US, it’s gruesome,” Schwimmer said, while conceding that a few have “done fine.” (Shares of gambling giant Flutter have soared 45% since it moved to New York, helped by the runaway success of FanDuel but also by its new digs. Shares of Ferguson, a plumbing distributor, are up 50% since it re-listed in New York in 2022.)

Recent reforms meant to make it easier for private companies to list and bring more UK pension money into the stock market should help, Reeves said.

But being open for business also leaves Britain’s corporate champions exposed to takeovers, especially when their stocks trade at steep discounts to foreign rivals.

“We welcome investment to come to Britain,” she said, but stressed market reforms to help companies “access financing here in Britain, rather than having to go to the US.”

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Activists take Air Products
Air Products tanks.
Courtesy of Air Products

Three of the four nominees that Paul Hilal’s activist hedge fund Mantle Ridge put forward at Air Products have been elected by shareholders based on preliminary vote tallies, the company said today, confirming our reporting from last night. There were some issues with Mantle Ridge’s nominees — as Semafor reported weeks ago — but investors overlooked those past allegations of insider trading to voice displeasure that led to the ousting of an octogenarian CEO with no clear succession plan for one of the largest providers of industrial gases with nearly $70 billion in market value. It’s an ironic ending for CEO Seifi Ghasemi’s career, considering he got the job at Air Products thanks to a decade-old campaign Hilal ran while working for Bill Ackman.

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Semafor Spotlight
A graphic saying “A great read from Semafor Principals.”Tulsi Gabbard.
Kevin Lamarque/Reuters

Tulsi Gabbard’s bid to become Donald Trump’s director of national intelligence is on shaky ground, with Republican lawmakers raising private concerns and the president urging her to get aggressive, Semafor’s Burgess Everett and Shelby Talcott report.

“There are very serious concerns by enough members to put her nomination in jeopardy,” one GOP senator told Semafor. A second Republican senator said she still “has a lot of questions to answer.”

For more scoops and analysis on the second Trump administration, subscribe to Semafor’s daily Principals newsletter. →

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