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Mossad is blamed for a drone attack on Iran, a lack of professionalism in U.S. police, and Novak Djo͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌ 
 
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January 30, 2023
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Flagship

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Tom Chivers
Tom Chivers

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The World Today

  1. Israel linked to Iran drone strike
  2. No jets for Ukraine, says Scholz
  3. The US’s unprofessional police
  4. Adani rebuts fraud claims
  5. BP’s oil forecasts fall
  6. Scrabbling for Bolivian lithium
  7. New allies in Biden’s chip war
  8. Tunisia election boycott
  9. The fight for Gandhi’s name
  10. Tennis’s ancients still on top

PLUS: The London Review of Substacks, and a controversial kaleidoscopic new show.

1

Israel reportedly behind Iran strike

WANA via REUTERS

A drone attack on an Iranian military facility was reportedly carried out by Israeli intelligence. A large explosion hit the city of Isfahan, a center of Iran’s missile and nuclear programs, on Saturday. The United States denied involvement, and intelligence officials told The New York Times that Israel’s Mossad was behind the attack. Iran supplies weapons to Russia, and Moscow is trying to obtain Iranian Shahab missiles, although U.S. officials say this strike was likely prompted by Israel’s own security concerns. Iran said it had shot down the drones and little damage was caused, though The Guardian cited eyewitnesses and footage which showed huge explosions and smoke.

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2

Ukraine’s new military request

Ukrainian Presidential Press Service/Handout via REUTERS

Ukraine’s calls for Western jets — just after NATO allies agreed to provide tanks — was dismissed as “frivolous” by German Chancellor Olaf Scholz. Ukraine’s prime minister told Politico that Kyiv’s supporters should send fighter planes “as soon as possible” because training Ukrainian pilots would take months. Scholz told Tagesspiegel that “firing up” a debate on aircraft when “we’ve only just made a decision” on tanks “undermines people’s trust in government.” Scholz also said that it was important to keep talking to Moscow: He called Russian President Vladimir Putin in December.

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3

Renewed US police violence

REUTERS/Laure Andrillon

The fatal beating of a young Black man by Memphis police sparked a new wave of largely peaceful protests in the United States after footage of the attack was released. U.S. citizens are 60 times more likely to be killed by police than British ones, a gulf the economist Noah Smith blamed on a lack of professionalism: U.S. police average about 600 hours of training, compared to more than 2,000 in England. In fact, American police officers undergo far less training than American plumbers or cosmetologists, “professions that don’t require people to carry deadly weapons.”

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4

Indian giant hits out at ‘fraud’ claim

The conglomerate owned by India’s richest man dismissed allegations from a short seller of “brazen stock manipulation and accounting fraud.” In a 400-page rebuttal, the Adani Group, owned by billionaire Gautam Adani, claimed the accusations amounted to “a calculated attack on India.” Stocks in Adani-controlled companies all dropped by the maximum 20% allowed by the Bombay Stock Exchange. Adani — like many Indian tycoons — is seen as close to Prime Minister Narendra Modi. Modi has increasingly relied on such national champions to drive economic growth rather than more politically toxic structural reform, the economist Mihir Sharma wrote. But “if you … come after Adani,” he noted, “you’re coming after India.”

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5

Falling fossil fuel forecasts

BP cut its projections for oil and gas sales over the next decade. The war in Ukraine will drive countries to pursue renewable energy, and the energy shock will damage economic growth and hit demand, the company said in its annual report. It projects a global demand in 2035 of 93 million barrels of oil a day, 5% down from last year’s forecast, while its natural gas forecast was down 6%. It means global carbon emissions will peak this decade, several years earlier than previously anticipated. Even under the new forecast, though, the world is falling short of a 2050 net-zero target.

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6

Latin America’s lithium on offer

A lithium mine in Uyuni, Bolivia. Flickr/Observacao Da Terra

The European Union and China accelerated their bids to tap into Latin America’s lithium deposits. During a visit to Argentina, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz called on the EU to finalize a free trade deal with Mercosur, the region’s largest trading bloc. Germany is keen to reduce its reliance on China for the minerals, including lithium, that its industry relies on. Meanwhile, a Chinese consortium which includes CATL, the world’s largest battery producer, signed a deal with the Bolivian government to develop its lithium deposits. Battery exports are expected by 2025. Bolivia holds the world’s largest lithium reserves, followed by Argentina and Chile.

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7

US wins allies in China chip feud

An ASML semiconductor assembling machine. Bart van Overbeeke Fotografie/ASML/Handout via REUTERS

The Netherlands and Japan — home to dominant suppliers of chipmaking tools — agreed to join U.S. restrictions on semiconductors to China, a win for the Biden administration. As a result, major companies that are largely unknown to the general population such as ASML and Nikon will not sell advanced chipmaking equipment to China. The American curbs, announced in October, have widely been seen as marking a seismic geopolitical shift, but China can still evade them: Its top nuclear-weapons research institute has been buying U.S. chips despite separate, decades-old, export restrictions, The Wall Street Journal reported.

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8

Low show for Tunisia polls

REUTERS/Zoubeir Souissi

Just 11% of Tunisians cast ballots in weekend parliamentary runoff elections. Remarkably, turnout was higher than the first round last month. Opposition parties had called for boycotts because of President Kais Saied’s seizure of power in recent years, which has meant that parliament is largely powerless. Saied, in keeping with the rhetoric of many aspiring strongmen, has defended his actions as fighting economic decline, but Tunisia’s tailspin has continued since he consolidated power: Last week, the ratings agency Moody’s downgraded the country’s debt, saying it would likely default.

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9

What Mahatma Gandhi means

Picryl

On the 75th anniversary of his assassination, Mahatma Gandhi is becoming a figure of controversy in his homeland. Once unquestioningly venerated, Gandhi is increasingly reviled by Hindu nationalists, including supporters of current Prime Minister Narendra Modi. Each year on his birthday, Gandhi’s critics try to get his assassin’s name trending on social media rather than Gandhi’s own, the editor-in-chief of the popular Hindi-language newspaper Hindustan noted. “Gandhi’s posthumous fate might increasingly come to resemble that of the Buddha, scorned by the land where he forged his moral and social philosophy, yet with followers and admirers in distant parts of the globe,” the Indian historian Ramachandra Guha wrote.

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10

Djokovic flies flag for tennis’s elders

Novak Djokovic won tennis’s Australian Open, equalling Rafael Nadal’s record of 22 men’s Grand Slam wins. Since Roger Federer first won Wimbledon in 2003, he, Djokovic, and Nadal have won 64 out of 78 of tennis’s biggest titles. Their closest rival in that time is Andy Murray, with three. Serena Williams has ruled the women’s game in that period. Williams and Federer retired this year — unthinkable that we will see no Federer, ethereal in white, in Wimbledon 2023 — but no new generation has stepped up. Reading the list of Grand Slam winners, it’s possible to pretend that it’s still 2008.

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Flagging
  • Vladislav Klyushin, a Russian businessman with ties to the Kremlin, faces trial in the U.S. on charges he took part in an insider trading scheme that relied on hacking.
  • South Korea scrapped a face mask mandate for most indoor public places in a big step towards loosening COVID-19 rules. It still requires them in public transport and medical facilities.
  • The fictional Lone Ranger character debuted on this day in 1933 on a radio program in Detroit.
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LRS

Pour some sugar on me

In 2018, Britain introduced a sugar tax. The plan was to reduce obesity, especially in children. But Christopher Snowdon, head of lifestyle economics at the Institute of Economic Affairs, points out something awkward: After its introduction, child obesity, as defined by the U.K. government, actually increased.

It’s not that the sugar tax caused the rise. But Snowdon argued that the tax had all-but-zero chance of ever working. Advocates for the policy say it reduced the amount of sugar in soft drinks — which it may have, slightly. But soft drinks account for about 2% of the nation’s calories, and consumption had been falling for 20 years anyway, as had sugar content. Proponents also say that obesity would have been even higher without a sugar tax. But that only makes sense, according to their own figures, if the tax had started having an effect two years before it was introduced. “To date,” an unimpressed Snowdon wrote, “the sugar tax has cost consumers well over a billion pounds.”

Mind the gap

What causes the gender pay gap? The academic Saloni Dattani, in a roundup of recent science that interests her, looked at a new study that tries to answer the question. Is it that men and women do different jobs, or is it that even when they do the same work, women get paid less?

The answer (inevitably) is both, but there are subtleties: “Differences within the same job accounted for around half of the overall gender pay gap,” says Dattani, “but this varied a lot between countries; it accounted for around 35% of the gap in Israel and 96% of the gap in Hungary!” The good news is that the gap is declining in almost all of the 15 countries studied, albeit only slowly.

Behind the mysticism

Carl Jung is an influential figure in the history of psychology. A contemporary and friend of Sigmund Freud, several of his ideas have become mainstream in psychology. But he was also explicitly mystical and anti-scientific. He believed in extrasensory perception and astrology, thought dreams could tell the future, and insisted that his theories could not be tested by scientific methods.

The psychology blogger Superb Owl tries to distill what it is about Jung that makes him interesting and useful, and separate out the “nonsense.” Jung’s model of the unconscious — that we have a face we present to the world, and parts we suppress and project onto others — is powerful, they say. “But Jung took his own ideas too literally,” treating them as something real rather than a useful model. His ideas can be “rewarding … just don’t take him too seriously.”

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Curio

How to watch a new heist show

Kaleidoscope/Netflix

Kaleidoscope, a new heist television show that can be watched in any order, is triggering debate over the best viewing sequence. Netflix randomizes the order of the nine-episode series for every viewer. But while the show “technically works in any order,” Austen Goslin argued in Polygon, “not every episode order provides the same level of narrative satisfaction, or even coherence.” He’s joined a growing group of writers suggesting different ways in which to watch the series, variously offering a chronological suggestion, a Reservoir Dogs-inspired lineup, and a “best” take.

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