 “The United States is more than just a nation. It’s a brand,” Citadel’s Ken Griffin said at Semafor’s World Economy Summit yesterday. “It can be a lifetime to repair the damage that has been done.” Tough words from the billionaire investor and Republican megadonor who was never exactly a cheerleader of President Donald Trump but was unsparing in his concerns about what the “Liberation Day” fallout means. Hi from Washington, where we’re on Day 2 of the summit and swimming in news. Mastercard CEO Michael Miebach said consumers may be freaked out, but they’re still spending. Germany’s finance minister said the EU is resisting the urge to let the White House wriggle on a hook of market pain: “The longer we wait for an agreement, the longer we let the uncertainty in both of our economies linger.” Steve Bannon is unimpressed with DOGE’s Wall of Receipts: “None of this makes sense.” And Davidson Kempner’s Tony Yoseloff likes distressed credit right now: “Buying debt at 60 or 70 cents on the dollar and often in an upside case, you get paid par.” Don’t panic, he was not talking about US Treasury bonds. But Griffin’s comments stuck with me, and were echoed by many people I talked to on stage and in a lively green room. CEOs are heartened by Trump’s climbdown, but none can envision rewinding the clock to April 1. “It’s like going home and asking your spouse, ‘should we get divorced?’” George Walker IV, CEO of asset manager Neuberger Berman, told me. “Even if three days later, you come back and say, ‘You know what? I’m all into this marriage. I’m committed’... there’s a real cost.” Stephen Miran, the White House’s top economist, urged patience and a focus on a big picture that includes negotiated trade deals, tax cuts, and regulatory reform that makes it easier “to build stuff here.” (Eat your heart out, Ezra.) “All of these, on the other side of the volatility that’s happening right now, are going to create a strong economy,” he said. By the time you get this, Day 2 will be in full swing. You can follow highlights here, and I’ll be back next week with some fully digested thoughts. |