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This weekend, why internet regulation sucks, an all-too-common pub name, and speeding up a sport.͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌ 
 
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May 13, 2023
semafor

Flagship

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Americas Morning Edition
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Ben Smith
Ben Smith

Welcome back to Flagship Weekend!

This week felt more like 2016 than any in a long time, thanks to Donald Trump. The former president was found liable for sexual assault and defamation, and promptly followed that up with a combative appearance on CNN — just like his campaign, “dialed up to 11,” as Shelby Talcott put it.

The 2024 presidential campaign will soon consume American politics, and Dave Weigel has been keeping an eye on the trends that will feed it, including the deepening Democratic divisions over crime might mean.

The AI race accelerated last week, as Reed Albergotti wrote, with one of the biggest companies in the world facing a classic bind: Google has been reluctant to release AI tools that might disrupt its giant advertising business, and is now racing to catch up with a wave of competitors.

Below, Tom’s skeptical about something we’re seeing across more and more of the West: hardening attitudes towards regulating the internet. I disagree, as you’ll see!

Before you sign off for the weekend, consider signing up for to Semafor Africa’s newsletter. Along with two weekly editions tracking the news and ideas from the continent, we’ve just debuted a rich new weekend edition, focused on culture.

— Ben Smith, Editor-in-Chief

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The View From the US
Christopher Weyant/CagleCartoons.com
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Lean Back

The way Hernan Díaz puts it, he doesn’t write in English because he lives in New York. “It’s the other way around — I’m here because of English.” The Argentine writer, who was this week awarded the Pulitzer Prize for fiction, for Trust, told El País he “fell in love with the language” after reading English literature as an adolescent. Díaz’s book, which will be adapted for TV by HBO, was described by the jury as “a riveting novel set in a bygone America that explores family, wealth and ambition.” Having gained popularity in the world of U.S. finance, Trust was also one of former President Barack Obama’s favorite reads of 2022.

Wallpaperflare

“There is no nation which so readily adopts foreign customs as the Persians,” the ancient Greek historian Herodotus wrote in On The Customs of the Persians. A new show at the British Museum in London, however, suggests Greek culture was itself heavily influenced by the descendants of Cyrus the Great. Drawing on art from Afghanistan to the Mediterranean, Luxury and Power: Persia to Greece, explores how Persian luxuries and extravagant artworks were received in ostensibly sober, democratic Athens — which styled itself as “Persia’s arch-enemy” — and how they were later adopted into Greek culture before the start of Alexander the Great’s hellenistic age. The exhibition runs until mid-August.

A lot of Swifties are about to get a crash course on K-pop. After the publisher Flatiron Books opened up pre-orders for a mysterious, untitled memoir from a celebrity, Taylor Swift fans began to speculate that she was the author and had left Easter eggs for her most devoted followers to piece together, leading to a surge of preorders, sending the book near the top of bestseller charts. The book is actually being written by K-pop titans BTS, along with journalist Myeongseok Kang, the publisher announced Thursday. It’ll document the story of the biggest band in the world, which is currently on hiatus. “To all the Swifties that already bought that book, I’m so sorry,” one TikToker and BTS fan said.

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Tom Chivers

How not to regulate the web

Pxfuel

THE NEWS

Tech companies deliberately feed kids “addictive content that wreaks havoc on their mental health.” That’s the opinion of four U.S. senators — two Republicans, two Democrats — who introduced a bill to Congress which would require age verification for all social media sites and would ban under-13s from using them at all.

Their proposal is part of a wider, global effort to regulate the internet. Also in the U.S., the EARN IT Act intends to combat child sexual exploitation online, and will require all platforms to moderate their content. A similar bill is before the European Parliament. The U.K. government hopes to pass a wide-ranging law this summer that will include both age verification and a demand for moderation.

Politicians trying to control digital communication is not new, but these efforts are accelerating. Sometimes they are driven by concerns — well-founded or otherwise — about spying, such as China allegedly siphoning data from TikTok; sometimes by concerns about the dangers of artificial intelligence. But often they are driven by the desire to protect internet users from some sort of harm.

TOM’S VIEW

These sprawling efforts are confused and likely to have profound unintended consequences. The U.K.’s Online Safety Bill is a case in point. It wants to force platforms to moderate illegal or harmful content. But some platforms — notably the messaging apps WhatsApp and Signal — have no idea what content they contain, because messages sent on them are “end-to-end encrypted.” The only people who can read the messages are the sender and the recipient.

To comply with the Online Safety Bill — or the U.S. and EU equivalents — WhatsApp would have to give the government a “backdoor” to allow it to break that encryption. That would hugely impair the security of the system, a cryptography engineer told me. Even if you trust the government’s intentions, you shouldn’t trust its cybersecurity: Government computer systems are vast, leaky, and easily hacked.

Half of the British population uses WhatsApp, but because 98% of WhatsApp’s users are outside the U.K., the Meta-owned app says it will block U.K.-based users rather than compromise the security of the app. If the U.S. and EU go ahead with their own bills, they may well face a similar result: Even the U.S. only accounts for 4% of WhatsApp’s global use.

Perhaps losing access to WhatsApp would be a price worth paying if the bill genuinely reduced harm. But experts I spoke to say that that’s unlikely. Bills like the U.K.’s don’t define what “harm” means, Andrew Przybylski of the Oxford Internet Institute told me. Are we concerned about psychological wellbeing? Mental illness? Crime? All of the above? Imagine, he says, pushing an “offline safety bill” which tries to prevent everything from car accidents to credit card fraud, all without any clear idea of what the underlying metric of “harm” is. The EU and U.S. legislation faces similar problems.

And these huge pieces of legislation also take many years to actually pass and be implemented, so “even if by some magic they work,” says Pete Etchells, an internet psychology professor at Bath Spa University, “they’ll only work for the tech we have. In three years they’ll be obsolete.”

ROOM FOR DISAGREEMENT

My boss Ben Smith, Semafor’s editor-in-chief, disagrees with me quite strongly, so I’m giving our usual Room for Disagreement slot over to him.

Tom’s argument leaves out the two most important themes affecting this space right now: Pornography and China. From France to Utah, Western politicians have decided that giving children unlimited access to pornography is a mistake, and they have huge popular support in banning it, whether with a sledgehammer or a scalpel.

Second, China has in fact proved that you can tightly regulate the internet, and has tight and fairly effective controls on porn and video games as, perhaps, a side effect of their tight controls on criticism of their government. Politicians in democratic countries are paying attention. If you watched the TikTok hearings in Washington, you would have heard repeated questions about why TikTok isn’t as clean as its Chinese counterpart.

The internet isn’t any harder to regulate than traffic or fisheries, and this generation of politicians are far more native to it than to most things they regulate. Hold on to your VPNs.

NOTABLE

  • The Signal Foundation, which owns the secure messaging platform Signal, says in a blog post that like WhatsApp it will not comply with the U.K.’s regulation. “Let me be blunt,” its president wrote. “Encryption is either broken for everyone, or it works for everyone. There is no way to create a safe backdoor.”
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Evidence

With baseball viewership sagging — 2022 World Series games were watched by an average of 6 million people, half the viewership of 2002 — Major League Baseball launched a raft of measures to kick-start interest in the sport. Chief among them were measures to reduce the average length of games, which had bloated to over three hours. To shorten games, the MLB introduced a 20-second time limit between pitches, much to the annoyance of finicky pitchers, who had honed their routines and windups over decades, as well as beer retailers at ballparks. Almost a quarter of the way into the 2023 season, the measures have been a success, with average game time falling by almost 30 minutes.

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Best of Semafor
  • Indian startups expected a flood of capital from much-hyped Western venture capital funds, similar to what occurred in China a decade ago. As Bradley Saacks notes, they’re still waiting.
  • Everyone in Washington is talking about permitting reform, Morgan Chalfant notes. But Republicans and Democrats have significant differences to overcome in order to reach a deal.
  • A government-mandated cashless payment system in Ethiopia is frustrating regular people, Kaleab Girma writes. The goal is to boost financial inclusion, widen the tax base, and boost economic growth, but it has so far just harkened back to Ethiopia’s old, protectionist habits.
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One Good Text

Caroline Crampton is the host of the Shedunnit podcast.

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Food for Thought
Whatpub/WikimediaCommons

Given that “Ye Olde Cheshire Cheese” and “The Case is Altered” are within the canon of names for English pubs, one would think that there can be no shortage of potential names for them. A 400-year-old edict, however, has resulted in more than 500 pubs sharing “The Red Lion” as their name. In 1603, James I, a Scot, inherited the English title despite not being too fond of the country — his mother, Mary Queen of Scots, was beheaded there. “So when he ascended to the throne,” Food & Wine wrote, “he ordered that all buildings of importance display the red lion of Scotland” to remind every Englishman and woman thirsty for a tipple who was in charge.

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Thanks for reading, and see you next week.

— Tom, Prashant Rao, Jeronimo Gonzalez, and J.D. Capelouto

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