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Israel strikes Tehran-backed targets across the Middle East in an apparent prelude to an expansion o͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌ 
 
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September 30, 2024
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The World Today

  1. Israel hits Iran proxies
  2. Le Pen corruption trial
  3. Hurricane kills 95 in US
  4. UK’s last coal plant shuts
  5. CO2 fear over Latam fires
  6. AI-designed AI chips
  7. China’s growing secrecy
  8. Gun violence up in SAfrica
  9. Elephant seals recover
  10. Megalopolis slumps

The London Review of Substacks, and recommending an album by the late, great Kris Kristofferson.

1

Israel ramps up onslaught

The aftermath of an Israeli airstrike on Beirut. Louisa Gouliamaki/Reuters.

Israel targeted Tehran-backed proxies across the Middle East and reportedly sent Iran’s supreme leader into hiding, an offensive that analysts said presaged a widening of the Middle East conflict. The onslaught — including killing a Hamas leader in Lebanon and striking Houthi targets in Yemen — came after the weekend assassination of Hezbollah’s leader. The latter died because of two strategic mistakes, The Wall Street Journal’s chief foreign-affairs correspondent wrote: “Grossly underestimating Israel, his foe, and overestimating the abilities of his patron, Iran.” Tehran has so far responded cautiously. “Faced with a choice between all-out war with Israel or lying low in the interest of self-preservation, [Iran’s leader] appears to be choosing the latter,” The New York Times noted.

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2

Le Pen trial opens

Yara Nardi/Reuters

Marine Le Pen faces an expenses trial today that could threaten her French presidential ambitions. The nationalist, anti-immigration politician could receive a decade in prison and a fine of up to €1 million if found guilty of allegations of illegally directing European Parliament funds to parliamentary staff. Le Pen has denied wrongdoing and analysts say even if she is convicted, a jail term is unlikely — though she could be banned from public office, derailing her 2027 French presidential campaign. Le Pen has gradually garnered more and more political momentum: She secured 23% of the vote in 2022’s first round, but the French weekly Challenges said a recent poll pegged her support at up to 40%.

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3

Helene death toll nears 100

Octavio Jones/Reuters

Hurricane Helene killed at least 95 people in a 500-mile path of destruction across six US states. Hundreds more remain unaccounted for as roads, bridges, and communications are down across swaths of territory. Swannanoa, a mountain town in North Carolina, was “completely and entirely erased,” inhabitants told The Washington Post, with residents forced to flee their homes via upstairs windows as floodwaters rose. President Joe Biden will visit the region this week, and the remnants of the storm will bring heavy rainfall over the coming days. The storm also likely caused over $30 billion in economic damage, with huge consequences for the insurance sector, which is increasingly affected by the changing weather patterns driven by climate change.

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4

First in, first out as UK drops coal

After 142 years, Britain will be a coal-free country. The Ratcliffe-on-Soar coal plant in central England closes today, making Britain the first G7 country to move past coal, just as it was the first in the world to use it to generate electricity, at a London plant that opened in 1882. The move away from coal has been swift: Until 1994 most of the UK’s electricity came from coal, but the introduction of carbon pricing and the rapid growth of renewables saw a steep dropoff after 2013. The government is looking to the energy future, too, moving closer to a decision on who will build a planned fleet of small modular nuclear reactors — Britain’s own Rolls-Royce is among the favorites.

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5

Drought crisis hits Amazon

South America could release a record amount of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere this year as vast areas of the continent struggle to contain wildfires. A years-long drought has been aggravated by climate change and El Niño, a warm-weather pattern. Experts fear the combination will make extreme weather events more frequent and devastating. Meanwhile logging and forest clearing for agriculture and cattle have also contributed to a sharp drop in moisture in the Amazon rainforest, in turn driving a drop in rainfall. The fires have sharply diminished air quality in cities across the continent, including in some where the smoke is so dense that it’s impossible to see the horizon, El País reported.

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6

Google’s AI chip designer

Carlo Allegri/Reuters

“Superhuman” chips designed by Google DeepMind’s artificial intelligence model are already in use in devices across the world, the company said. It takes human designers months of effort to design the transistor “floorplan” in AI-ready chips. In 2020, DeepMind released an AI algorithm that could do the same thing to better-than-human levels in a few hours. Last week, DeepMind announced an upgrade, rebranded the project “AlphaChip”, and said that its output was already being put to work. The company said it envisaged a future where AI methods “automate the entire chip design process,” rapidly speeding up the process of building cutting-edge semiconductors — a process already under way: Nvidia apparently uses AI to help design its chips too, Ars Technica reported.

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7

China’s growing opacity

The Economist suspended its China column, Chaguan, noting it had not yet been able to appoint a writer in Beijing. The announcement underlines the growing difficulty for foreigners to access and understand events in the world’s second-biggest economy. In a farewell piece, The Economist’s since-departed Chaguan writer argued that China had taken on a “siege mentality,” in which fewer foreigners were allowed to cover the country. He noted that authorities had allotted outlets such as The New York Times and The Wall Street Journal significantly fewer correspondent visas. The crackdown extends internally, too, with a prominent domestic economist disappearing after criticizing Chinese leader Xi Jinping in a private WeChat discussion.

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8

Mass shooting concerns in S. Africa

Gunmen in South Africa killed at least 17 people gathered for a traditional ceremony, the latest in a growing number of mass shootings in the country. South Africa has long struggled to contain the violence that has made it sub-Saharan Africa’s most dangerous country by a wide margin, with the murder rate reaching a two-decade high last year. In response, South Africans have turned to private security, a budding industry that employs more than 2.7 million people, compared to just 150,000 police officers. However “even those who are lucky enough to have private protection can’t always be sure of safety,” The Associated Press reported.

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9

Elephant seal population rebounds

Flickr

Northern elephant seals were almost driven extinct, but have staged a remarkable comeback. Genetic analysis showed that the Pacific Ocean seals had been reduced to fewer than 25 individuals by the turn of the 20th century, all on one island off the coast of Mexico. The population has recovered spectacularly since hunting was banned in 1922: There are now an estimated 225,000 seals along the coast of North America. It’s not all good news: The research found that the population decline had caused a genetic bottleneck, removing many genes from the pool and creating significant inbreeding, although scientists found no evidence of health problems as a result.

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10

Megalopolis misfires

Lionsgate

Megalopolis, Francis Ford Coppola’s self-financed cinematic epic, crumbled at the box office on its opening weekend, taking just $4 million in the US. Coppola spent $120 million on the decades-long, star-studded project but critics are at best divided: One called it “a magnificent mess,” while the BBC’s film critic likened it to “listening to someone tell you about the crazy dream they had last night — and they don’t stop talking for well over two hours.” The studio behind the film attracted controversy last month after fake artificial-intelligence-generated quotes turned up in its trailer, but whether using the real ones would have been better is an open question.

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Flagging
  • El Salvador’s President Nayib Bukele makes an official visit to Argentina.
  • Canada marks the National Day for Truth and Reconciliation, honoring the survivors and children who never returned home from the nation’s Indigenous residential schools.
  • France’s 2018 World Cup-winning star Antoine Griezmann announces his retirement from international football.
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LRS

Baby talk

Having kids sucks, the journalist Rebecca Reid says: “I have less time, less money, less freedom, dramatically less sleep — less of everything I built my life in value of.” And yet, somehow, it has made her happier, and, unexpectedly, more productive, because she is busy. “I have a perpetual motion throughout the day,” she writes. “In making my life dramatically harder, I’ve also made it somehow easier.”

There is something liberating about being unliberated,” she says, “about being forced to think about something or someone else before yourself.” Before, she could get lost in “self-care” — “don’t worry about showering! Don’t worry about getting out of bed! It’s okay to eat takeaway in your pyjamas” — and struggled with her mental health. Now she has no time to overthink. “I hear people say [parenthood] is worth it ‘for your kids,’” she says. “But it’s not that… It’s not like she’s the free gift that justifies the purchase.” Instead, it has made her own life better, by “ruining the lovely, comfortable, luxurious life and replacing [it] with boundaries and expectations.”

I wish I could, but I don’t want to

George Bernard Shaw, the playwright, “hated, with a real passion, going out to lunch and dinner,” notes Shaun Usher. He hated the formality of it, the possibility of being forced to converse with a bunch of people he didn’t like, and — being a vegetarian — the inevitability of being served meat. “Over the years, he became a master of the pointed decline,” says Usher, “and rarely disguised his contempt for the absurdities of social etiquette.” Usher found a new example recently, and shared it on Letters of Note: Shaw’s response to Lady Randolph Churchill, daughter-in-law of the former British prime minister, when she accused him of bad manners after he declined her lunch invitation.

“If I make the usual excuses, and convince her that I am desolated by some other engagement, she will ask me again,” Shaw wrote. “And when I have excused myself six times running, she will conclude that I personally dislike her… Therefore I am compelled to do the simple thing, and when you say, ‘Come to lunch with a lot of people,’ reply flatly, ‘I won’t.’ If you propose anything pleasant to me, I shall reply with equal flatness, ‘I will.’ But lunching with a lot of people — carnivorous people — is not pleasant.”

Mood music

You can learn a lot about whether to pay attention to someone’s arguments by the mood they express them in, says the economist Bryan Caplan. Sometimes, that’s in a basic way: “When someone expresses his views with a calm mood, you consider him more reliable than when he expresses his views with an hysterical mood.” But Caplan thinks you can be more granular than that: Some arguments should be expressed in a certain mood, and if they are not, it should undermine your confidence in the arguer.

For instance, a reasonable mood for a foreign policy hawk “is sorrow… We are in a tragic situation [and] we have to kill many thousands of innocent civilians in order to avoid even greater evils.” But often hawks express themselves with “anger and machismo,” such as US Senator Ted Cruz’s “I don’t know if sand can glow in the dark, but we’re going to find out.” Similarly, someone keen to restrict immigration should be in “anguish that a tremendous opportunity to enrich mankind… must go to waste,” and full of pity for the billions condemned to poverty for being born in the wrong place. “Instead, the standard restrictionist moods are anger and xenophobia.” “This doesn’t mean their view is false,” he says, “but it is a strong reason to think it’s false.”

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Semafor Recommends

Feeling Mortal by Kris Kristofferson. The country-and-western star — and movie actor, Rhodes scholar, American football player, boxer, and helicopter pilot — who died over the weekend aged 88 released 18 studio albums over his 50-year career. The title track of his penultimate collection, 2013’s Feeling Mortal, was “a stark portrayal of aging and decline,” Rolling Stone said in its roundup of his greatest work: “A moving meditation of what it means to grapple with the true realization they won’t be around forever.” Listen to Feeling Mortal on Spotify.

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