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The global impacts of Oct 7 a year on, a new hurricane threatens Florida, and the Nobel Prizes in nu͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌ 
 
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thunderstorms Oslo
cloudy Beirut
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October 7, 2024
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The World Today

  1. Israel’s grim anniversary
  2. Oct. 7’s global fallout
  3. China recovery skepticism
  4. Mexico mayor murdered
  5. Hurricane nears Florida
  6. Antarctica goes green
  7. Africa’s solar boom
  8. Fluoridation questioned
  9. Nobel Prizes in numbers
  10. Films go back to the future

The London Review of Substacks, and recommending a Greek novel that is a ‘thoughtful, kid-sized reflection on empathy.’

1

Israel marks Oct. 7 anniversary

Placards and signs for victims of the Oct. 7 attack are displayed.
Amir Cohen/Reuters

Israel marked a year since Hamas’ Oct. 7 attack, but the country’s aerial assault on Lebanon and rockets fired upon Tel Aviv by the Palestinian militant group demonstrated that the conflict has no end in sight. Vigils were held globally to commemorate the attack that left more than 1,100 dead, triggering Israel’s war on Gaza that has so far killed more than 41,000 and resulted in a humanitarian catastrophe. The war has reshaped the Middle East: Israeli troops have entered Lebanon and a full-on war with Iran looms. Ceasefire talks have gone nowhere: The New York Times reported that Israel twice upended negotiations for truces with Hezbollah and Hamas by assassinating some of the groups’ leaders.

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2

Mideast war’s global fallout

Bombed out buildings and structures in the aftermath of a strike in Beirut
The aftermath of a strike in Beirut. Ahmad Al-Kerdi/Reuters

The Middle East conflict has upended global geopolitics. In the US, the regional fallout “could change the outcome” of next month’s presidential election, the Financial Times noted, with analysts arguing an expansion of the war to include direct fighting between Israel and Iran could help ex-President Donald Trump’s election prospects. European Union member states, meanwhile, are divided over the conflict: Austria and Hungary have voiced staunch support for Israel while Spain and Ireland have been critical, with regional powers France and Germany treading a delicate balance. Parts of the developing world, meanwhile, have argued the West’s support for Israel has undermined its demand for global unity over Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

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3

China’s stimulus stumbles

A chart showing a surge in Shanghai's stock exchange following the announcement of a stimulus package

China’s recently announced stimulus program — which drove a stock market surge — is drawing skepticism from investors and causing Beijing problems with currency management. Major global money managers such as JPMorgan Asset Management, HSBC, and Nomura have said they are waiting for China to back up last month’s promises of opening the fiscal spigot, with a top Invesco official arguing “some stocks have become really overvalued.” The stimulus pledge combined with the US Federal Reserve cutting interest rates has also driven China’s renminbi higher, potentially hurting exporters whose goods will thus become costlier on global markets, a currencies analyst told the Financial Times.

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4

Mexican mayor killed

A chart showing 9 of the 10 most violent cities in the world by murder rate are in Mexico.

The mayor of one of Mexico’s state capitals was killed, the latest in a nationwide spike in political violence. In the months leading to Mexico’s general election in June, at least 37 candidates were killed, while many more dropped out over threats. Experts believe growing drug cartel financing of campaigns is partly responsible for the escalation in violence. Mexico’s new President Claudia Sheinbaum has made pacifying the country a priority after murders reached a record high under the previous government, but analysts fear the state lacks the capacity to combat increasingly powerful gangs: “It’s a jungle,” a security analyst told The Wall Street Journal. “What the criminals are saying to authorities is: We rule here.

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5

Hurricane Milton approaches Florida

A satellite image showing Hurrican Milton nearing the US.
CIRA/NOAA/Handout via Reuters

Hurricane Milton will make landfall on the US East Coast this week, with authorities warning of “multiple life-threatening hazards.” Florida is preparing its biggest evacuation in seven years, as the storm approaches Tampa Bay. The southeast is still reeling from the impact of Hurricane Helene, which devastated large areas last week: Thousands are still without power, many lack drinking water or communications, and hundreds are missing. More than 230 people are confirmed to have died. President Joe Biden has approved $137 million in federal aid and sent 1,500 troops to North Carolina to aid the recovery following a disaster that AccuWeather estimates could ultimately cost as much as $250 billion.

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6

Antarctic moss, English ‘champagne’

A chart showing falling levels of Antarctic mass.

Antarctica is getting greener. Satellite images of the southern continent from 1986 showed just 8,000 square feet of patchy vegetation, but as the land warmed and ice retreated, that has expanded to 4.6 square miles, new research reported. The increase is small on an absolute scale, less than a millionth of Antarctica’s total surface area, but the greening process is accelerating, potentially creating conditions for more advanced plant life in future, a researcher told Ars Technica. In another reminder of climate change’s complex effects, Britain’s warming temperatures means that, for the first time, a French champagne house will release a sparkling wine made from grapes grown in southern England, Le Monde reported.

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7

Africa’s solar surge

An illustrated map that notes that Africa has some of the lowest levels of access to electricity in the world.

Solar power companies are thriving in Africa, where hundreds of millions remain without access to electricity. According to the World Bank, in some parts of West Africa just 8% of the population have electricity at home, with many relying on kerosene and other toxic fuels to light their houses. Solar power has since become one of the cheapest and cleanest ways to generate electricity in the continent, with some companies offering systems for as little as $20, The Associated Press reported. “There wasn’t really anybody doing solar at scale. And so we thought it was a good opportunity,” the head of Easy Solar, one of Africa’s fastest-growing companies, said.

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8

Review casts doubt on tap water fluoride

An image of a glass of water under a tap
Creative Commons

Fluoride in drinking water may be less effective at protecting dental health than thought, a major new review found. US cities began adding fluoride to tap water in the 1950s, after evidence showed it can prevent tooth decay. The Cochrane Library, which aggregates scientific research, found that the benefits of water fluoridation now are significantly less than those found in earlier studies, and it’s not clear that they exist at all. This may be because, since the introduction of fluoride toothpaste, fluoride deficiency is much rarer. The review also noted that fluoridated water is linked to a discoloration of teeth, and said it was time for “careful consideration” of whether fluoridation is still effective.

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9

Nobel prizes in numbers

A chart showing the US has drastically more Nobel laureates than other countries

The 2024 Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine went to Victor Ambros and Gary Ruvkun for their discovery of a kind of RNA. The work helped explain how our cells do different things despite containing the same genes. With the Nobels announced this week, Nature looked at the numbers behind the prizes. The gap between doing the research and getting the prize is growing: In the 1960s, it was 14 years, while in the 2010s it was 29 years. In the 20th century, just 11 prizes went to women, whereas 15 have in just 23 years of this century so far. And more than half of winners lived in North America — as do Ambros and Ruvkun.

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10

Hollywood bets on existing IP

Creative Commons

More than half of 2025’s movies from Hollywood’s biggest studios will be existing intellectual property. The trend towards familiar material is not new: The 10 biggest US film releases of 2024 so far have all been remakes, sequels, and prequels, including Dune: Part Two, Inside Out 2, and Deadpool & Wolverine. But consumers are becoming more cautious about buying movie tickets, CNBC reported, and studios are keen to know that there are audiences for big-budget releases, making existing popular IP an easier pitch. Next year’s big releases include more Toy Story, more Jurassic Park, and a sequel to Dirty Dancing, in case anyone was concerned that the 21st century had begun.

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Flagging
  • The Slovak and Ukrainian governments hold a joint meeting in the western Ukrainian city of Uzhorod.
  • French President Emmanuel Macron meets his Vietnamese counterpart in Paris.
  • The Menendez Brothers, a documentary about two brothers who murdered their parents, is released on Netflix.
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LRS

Adopt the position

When she was a child, the author of Cartoons Hate Her wanted to adopt lots of children. Years later when she and her husband faced an infertility diagnosis she looked into the process but eventually decided against it, opting for IVF instead. She was amazed by the vitriol she received: Online strangers called her a “selfish bitch” who wanted a “designer baby.” But when people think about adoption, she says, they are thinking of something like the musical Annie, a bunch of orphaned kids waiting for someone to rescue them. That was fairly accurate, in the 19th century. Lots of people died young so there were lots of orphans.

But now, luckily, orphans are rare, and adopting an infant is difficult. Most adoption now is of older kids taken away from neglectful parents — and even then it’s a last resort, because the goal of foster care is to reunite families. Would-be adoptive parents may well look after a child for years, and then see them given back to their biological parents. That’s good, but it means that grieving infertile people shouldn’t be misled into thinking foster care will end up with them having a child of their own. The fact that so many children need care is a tragedy, she says, but it “isn’t the fault of infertile people.”

Dead reckoning

If you suffer from excessive guilt, you might have subconscious goals like “I don’t want to make anyone mad,” or “I don’t want to hurt anyone,” or “I don’t want to be a burden.” “These are what I call the life goals of dead people,” says the rationalist writer Ozy Brennan, “because what they all have in common is that the best possible person to achieve them is a corpse.” Compare those to other goals one might have: “I want to write a great novel,” “I want to be a good parent to my kids,” “I want to learn linear algebra.” All of these “are goals that dead people are noticeably bad at,” notes Brennan, and it’s hard to disagree.

It’s easy to fall into a sort of negative ambition, aiming to take up as little space as possible in the world. But being alive means having needs and wants and doing things, which will mean affecting the world, and, sometimes, annoying people. “If you want to be dead, that’s your own business,” says Brennan. But “as an alive person, you have one major advantage over dead people: you can take actions. You can work jobs and write novels and learn math and parent children and watch movies and rescue adorable animals in need. You will be much happier if you play to your comparative advantage.”

Holy wood

Every few years, a religious movie does well at the box office. When that happens, a bunch of think pieces come out, saying that faith-based movies are the future of entertainment as Hollywood taps into the huge underserved religious market. And then, a few weeks later, everyone forgets and nothing really happens. But, writes the data journalist Daniel Parris at Stat Significant, religious — and in particular Christian — movies are a quietly profitable industry.

Mel Gibson’s 2004 The Passion of the Christ is the highest-grossing independent film of all time, raking in $611 million. It was followed by an uptick in Christian-themed movies. Parris notes that those movies are usually low-budget, without established stars, and reliably make money despite consistently low ratings on review sites. But mainstream Hollywood still doesn’t tend to pick them up, suggesting that there is “an unspoken consensus [that mainstream movies] may touch on cultural aspects of spirituality from a safe distance, but they steer clear of overt religiosity.”

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Semafor Recommends

Step Into My Shoes by Alkisti Halikia. The children’s book, originally published in Greek, follows a young girl who walks past a mosque on her route from school and is fascinated by the shoes left outside, imagining stepping into various pairs to envisage what their owners’ lives are like. The story is a “thoughtful, kid-sized reflection on empathy,” Literary Hub writes. Buy Step Into My Shoes from your local bookstore.

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