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Senegal’s democratic challenge, Kenya’s protests, parsing Zambia’s debt load.͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌ 
 
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March 30, 2023
semafor

Africa

Africa
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Yinka Adegoke
Yinka Adegoke

Hi! Welcome to Semafor Africa where Alexis Akwagyiram and I dig into some of the biggest stories around the continent twice a week.

It’s been a rollercoaster of emotions for the family of Paul Rusesabagina, the political activist made famous as the hero of the Hollywood movie Hotel Rwanda. As you likely know, in 2021 Rusesabagina was sentenced to 25 years in prison in Rwanda for his alleged involvement in the armed wing of a political group with which he’s affiliated. But he was only in Rwanda after being tricked onto a flight he was told was going to Burundi. It’s important to remember Rusesabagina had been a thorn in the side of President Paul Kagame as a long-time critic.

Now his family tell me they’re “on Cloud nine” to have him back in the United States after Kagame’s sudden change of heart in recent weeks, news that our colleague Steve Clemons has been ahead on since he sat down with the Rwandan president at the Semafor Africa Summit in December. As Rusesabagina is a U.S. permanent resident, the White House, State Department, key members of the Senate and many others worked quietly behind the scenes to secure his release.

More details will no doubt be revealed in the coming days and weeks but for now, the Rusesabagina family in San Antonio, Texas is just delighted to be together. “Our family is whole again!”

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Need to know

🇰🇪 Anti-government protests rocked Kenya’s capital and other major towns on Thursday — the third day of unrest since opposition leader Raila Odinga said weekly demonstrations would be staged on Mondays and Thursdays. Properties were damaged and supermarkets looted in Nairobi and the southwestern city of Kisumu. The protests are against the rising cost of living and Odinga’s claim that last year’s presidential election process was flawed. The African Union has called for calm.

Reuters/John Muchucha

🇳🇪 The German cabinet on Wednesday agreed to deploy troops to Niger as part of the European Union’s three-year military mission in the West African nation. Parliament in Berlin is expected to vote for the final decision in April which, if approved, may bolster Niger’s security efforts and fight against armed insurgents.

🇱🇸 Lesotho parliament this week debated a motion to reclaim part of the neighboring South Africa. Dr Tsepo Lipholo, the opposition party politician who raised the motion, asked parliament to declare the whole of the Free State, parts of the Northern Cape, the Eastern Cape, Mpumalanga and KwaZulu-Natal as part of Lesotho’s territory.

🇸🇸 South Sudan’s President Salva Kiir appointed a member of his own party as defense minister, breaching a peace deal in which the role should be selected by the party of opposition leader Riek Machar. The change was made in a decree announced on state media late on Wednesday. Forces loyal to Kiir and Machar signed a peace agreement in 2018 ending five years of civil war that killed 400,000 people and triggered Africa’s biggest refugee crisis since the 1994 Rwandan genocide.

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Stat

The sum recovered by the U.S. Justice Department after civil corruption cases that alleged Nigeria’s former Minister for Petroleum Resources, Diezani Alison-Madueke, took bribes to steer oil contracts to her associates between 2011 and 2015. The money was realized from forfeited luxury assets that were bought with the proceeds of the illegally-awarded contracts, the department said on March 27.

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Daisy Jeremani

Zimbabweans are using a basic nursing course to escape overseas

Jekesai Njikizana/AFP via Getty Images)

THE NEWS

BULAWAYO, Zimbabwe — Young Zimbabweans are flocking to a seven-week nursing course that helps them get jobs overseas.

A surge in sign-ups for the $300 course over the last year has accelerated a two-decade trend in which thousands of health workers have left the country.

The course, which teaches first aid techniques and the principles of nursing, is offered at private centers nationwide by organizations including International Committee of the Red Cross, St John’s Ambulance centers and universities. The qualification makes it easier and faster for participants to secure visas and jobs as care assistants in the UK, New Zealand and Australia.

It has been available for decades but was traditionally only taken by those with few formal qualifications. Red Cross and St John’s training centers now have a six-month waiting list, according to prospective students. Participants say people with qualifications including degrees now opt for the course as a fast route to move abroad.

The surge also follows a February 2022 change in the UK, one of the preferred destinations for Zimbabwean migrants, which opened up recruitment from overseas for care workers because of the COVID-19 pandemic. The number of Zimbabweans granted worker visas rose sharply to 8,363 in September 2022 from 499 in 2019, according to the UK Office of National Statistics.

But those who try to leave are vulnerable to scammers. In February 2023, the British embassy in Harare warned Zimbabweans of recruitment agencies who have used “unethical” practices to deceive migrants who are then subjected to unfair labor conditions and ill-treatment. Job seekers, it said, must sign contracts indicating their salary, working hours and location and ensure that their employers abide by the terms of the agreements. Some British recruitment agencies are charging up to £10,000 ($12,000) for a bogus “sponsorship certificate” for candidates desperate to guarantee approval of their UK visa applications.

DAISY’S VIEW

Young people have jumped on this course because it’s a quick and relatively cheap way to get out of the country. The terrible state of the economy means there are few opportunities at home, and the exodus is exacerbating the situation.

“There are no jobs in Zimbabwe,” Junior Dube, 19, a student taking the course at the Red Cross in Bulawayo, Zimbabwe’s second biggest city, told Semafor Africa.

Earlier this month, the World Health Organization added Zimbabwe to a list of 53 poorer countries including Rwanda, Zambia, and East Timor that continue to lose experienced health staff to more developed nations. WHO describes these countries’ health systems as vulnerable with a density of doctors, nurses and midwives below the global median of 49 per 10,000 people.

Zimbabwe has been through more than two decades of devastating economic conditions with hyperinflation, forex shortages, and rampant unemployment ravaging the country which has seen millions of workers leave the country. Some 40% of Zimbabweans live on under $2.15 a day, according to the World Bank.

Workers in the southern African country earn around $800 a month but can make at least three times as much in the UK.

The government estimates that the country has lost at least 4,000 doctors and nurses since 2021. That equates to around one in six Zimbabwean health workers. Most settled in the UK, Australia and South Africa. In a bid to stem the drift, President Emmerson Mnangagwa’s government in February imposed restrictions on applications for health workers intending to leave. They now must pay $300 for a certificate of good standing and a further $300 for an employment confirmation letter.

And in January it enacted a law to prohibit health workers from going on strike — a common occurrence — for more than three days, with penalties of up to six months in prison.

The measures are likely to slightly slow down the pace of migration but committed workers — of whom there are many, given the lucrative opportunities abroad — will bear the cost regardless.

ROOM FOR DISAGREEMENT

“The country’s health delivery system can benefit from the experience of the returnees gained while in the receiving countries,” Itai Rusike, executive director of the Harare-based Community Working Group on Health non-governmental organization told the local NewsDay newspaper.

THE VIEW FROM LONDON

The UK’s largest trade union, UNISON, says workers from overseas play a vital role in keeping the country’s National Health Service (NHS) afloat.

“The NHS has too few staff to cope with the growing demands being made of it,” said Narmada Thiranagama, policy officer at UNISON. “Across England, there are 133,000 vacancies across all services and affecting all jobs. Services are stretched to breaking point — there are long waits for treatment and people calling 999 for an ambulance often have to wait many hours before one turns up. Without overseas health professionals, this intolerable situation would be a good deal worse.”

NOTABLE

  • Zimbabwe’s health system is “unable to deliver the most basic care,” according to Norman Nyazema, an academic specializing in health at South Africa’s University of Limpopo. Professor Nyazema, in The Conversation, argues that the problems have pushed many doctors and nurses to leave the country. “Those who stay are incapacitated. When they attempt to focus on providing basic care they appear to have no one to listen to them.”
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Evidence

Zambia is at the center of a global debate about how lending to developing countries is being handled, particularly with the rise of China as an important partner to many such  countries over the last decade. The southern African country is being watched closely because it was the first country to default on its debt in the early days of the pandemic in 2020. This week its finance ministry revealed that the total debt load had increased by some $300 million, to $32.8 billion, in the six months to December 2022. Zambia’s now owes some $6.68 billion to commercial lenders including eurobond holders. This is the biggest segment of its external debt. But, given the interest in China’s involvement, it’s worth noting that debt owed to various Chinese development and commercial banks and other related parties comes to $4 billion or about 12% of Zambia’s total debt load.

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Briefing

The protests around Ousmane Sonko in Senegal

Reuters/Cooper Inveen

→ Who is Ousmane Sonko? He is a Senegalese politician who came third in the 2019 election in which President Macky Sall won a second term. Sonko, 48, has since become the leading voice of Senegal’s Yewwi Askan Wi (Liberate the People) opposition coalition.

→ Why is he on trial? Sonko is the respondent in a lawsuit by Senegal’s tourism minister in which he is accused of “defamation, insult, and forgery.” The court case began in February. Sonko’s coalition called for protests in the capital, Dakar, ahead of the latest hearing on March 30, but Sall’s government banned any protests citing a disruption of public order.

A Dakar court on Thursday found Sonko guilty in the defamation case, handing him a two-month suspended prison sentence and a fine. A separate trial will determine whether Sonko is guilty of raping a masseuse in 2021.

→ Why are people angry? Sonko’s supporters have accused the government of using the justice system to bar him from contesting the next presidential election in February 2024. Senegalese electoral rules bar people with prior convictions from being on the presidential ballot.

→ Are the protests related to anything else? Yes. Sall’s opponents fear he may run for a controversial third term next year. First elected in 2012 when a term lasted seven years, Sall presided over a referendum in which the constitution was amended to impose a limit of two five-year terms. Sall will have been president for 12 years by next February but he has not ruled himself out of the race.

→ Why is this significant? Senegal has for decades been a stable democracy compared to close neighbors Mali and Guinea. However, the pursuit of a third term by Sall could stir anxiety over authoritarianism, threatening to reset reputational gains that have made Senegal an attractive destination for foreign investment.

— Alexander Onukwue

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One Good Text

U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris kicked off a three-nation African tour this week with a visit to Ghana. The tour is part of a push by the U.S. to build closer ties with the continent. Edem Selormey is the director of research at the Ghana Center for Democratic Development (CDD) think tank in Accra.

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Staff Picks
  • The Democratic Republic of Congo plans to set up battery production plants and end the exportation of minerals, finance minister Nicolas Kazadi told the Financial Times. The DRC and Zambia last year signed an agreement to enable the development of an integrated value chain for the production of electric vehicle batteries in the two countries. The DRC has set up an entity in charge of battery production to fast-track the process. More African countries are aiming to move up the value chain by shifting from the exportation of raw materials to selling processed products.
  • Elephant Research and Conservation, a German nonprofit group, is testing a new technology aimed at addressing conflicts between humans and elephants in African countries. The New York Times reports that audio technology being tested in Liberia is helping to separate elephants from people, therefore mitigating the human-elephant conflict that poses an extinction threat to endangered forest elephants. Dr Lucy King of Save the Elephant, an organization based in Kenya, said conflicts — which often involve elephants destroying farm crops, prompting reprisals by rural communities — have been fueled by rapid population growth across the continent which has led to human encroachment on wild spaces.
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Outro
Courtesy: University of Missouri

Archaeologists and scientists have used geochemical analyses on copper ingots found in southern Africa to uncover cultural connections in the region which date back several hundred years. While discussions about the origins of the fishtail and croisette copper artifacts previously linked them to trade via the Indian Ocean, researchers at the University of Missouri found they were made exclusively from copper ore mined in central Africa’s Copperbelt region or from Zimbabwe’s Magondi Belt. “There is a massive history of interconnectivity found throughout the region in areas now known as the countries of Zambia, Zimbabwe and the Democratic Republic of the Congo,” said Jay Stephens, a postdoctoral fellow at Missouri University Research Reactor (MURR) Archaeometry Lab.

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— Yinka, Alexis, Alexander, and Muchira

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