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We look at how the Joe Biden biographers see doesn’t look like the one stumbling through speeches, a͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌ 
 
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September 12, 2023
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Americana

Americana
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David Weigel

In books, Biden is an energetic leader. Too bad nobody reads them.

REUTERS/Evelyn Hockstein

THE NEWS

In June 2021, perhaps for the last time, President Joe Biden and Russian President Vladimir Putin met face to face. They talked for three hours, emerging to tell reporters that there had been no breakthroughs; Biden told reporters that he’d handed Putin a list of 16 examples of critical U.S. infrastructure, warning him of consequences if any came under cyberattack.

According to “The Last Politician,” the Biden-in-power book that Franklin Foer published last week, the president spoke more ominously than he’d let the public know. “Put yourself in my shoes,” Biden told Putin. “I mean, with the attacks on our infrastructure. Imagine if something happened to your oil infrastructure…”

Biden let “the thought hang in the air,” and reading it now, it hangs even heavier. One year later, as America spent millions to defend Ukraine against Russian invasion, the CIA learned of a Ukrainian plot to damage the Nord Stream pipelines with underwater bombs.

Foer’s book, the most far-reaching study of the Biden White House so far, presents an aging president who’s nonetheless fully engaged in the job, stumbling more when he loses his temper — blurting out Arizona Sen. Kyrsten Sinema’s private negotiating position, telling a Democrat who resists the Build Back Better package that she’s “the opposition” — than when he loses his train of thought.

But this story is so distant from most coverage of Biden, especially on the right, that it reads like alternate history. To many voters, Biden is presented as too frail to carry out even basic duties, leaving his aides to secretly run the country in his stead. In the first books to document his presidency, the picture is of a leader who sounds shaky in public, but is the dominant force in his White House.

Foer told Semafor that he “wanted to write a book about governance” after the Trump years, and he got one: Biden, he found, “buries himself in details” and “takes technocratic charge” of issues. “The Last Politician” acknowledges that Biden “would occasionally admit that he felt tired,” and that his “advanced age was a hindrance” when he blanked on a name or kept a light schedule. But it’s a bit part in the overall story — and his staff worried more about his life-long tendency to wander off script than how age had affected his faculties.

“It’s weird; people are always saying, ‘well, it’d be great if we saw more Biden,’” Foer said. “He gives public speeches almost every single day. He sticks to his message. He doesn’t say anything insane. He does have kind of a low-key style in these speeches, but I don’t think that’s abnormal for a president. It’s just abnormal in the aftermath of Trump.”

Biden’s status as the oldest-ever president has defined not just his re-election — it’s by far his biggest weakness — but the way his White House is analyzed daily in the choose-your-own-media landscape.

Presidential speeches make less news than a rambling off-teleprompter aside, or a non-answer to a shouted question about Hunter Biden. The Republican National Committee cut 12 videos along these lines from Biden’s 25-minute press conference in Vietnam late Sunday evening, where his energy level and stammering fired up conservatives and inspired fresh coverage of whether he simply looked too old to win again.

Footage of the president briefly pausing or being ignored feeds entire news cycles in conservative media about who, really, must be running things; nearly every day, Nikki Haley tells Republican crowds that her true, actuarial opponent is Vice President Kamala Harris. During the 2020 campaign, Trump similarly warned Biden would be a “puppet” for further left Democrats because of his fragility: “They are going to put him in a home and other people are going to be running the country,” he said. Ron Klain, Barack Obama, The Clintons, Xi Jinping — there is always someone, pulling invisible strings with invisible hands.

The president never comments on the press treatment around his age in Foer’s book, which ends after Biden’s 2022 midterms. But his comment to Jen Psaki about media coverage of the Afghanistan withdrawal sums up his mindset: “Either the press is losing its mind, or I am.”

DAVID’S VIEW

One reason the book version of Biden isn’t better known: No one is reading it.

Insider accounts of the Biden-Obama relationship (Gabriel Debenedetti’s “The Long Alliance”), of Biden’s core team (Chris Whipple’s “The Fight of His Life”), and the First Lady (Julie Pace and Darlene Superville’s “Jill”) have sold just a few thousand copies, and missed the best-seller list.

There’s enough of them now, though, that they’re worth evaluating together on their own terms. They draw a consistent picture of Biden, a confident man who over-prepares for every briefing, puts no timer on his anecdotes, delegates more often than he micromanages, and bristles when he’s told to shut up. He is, for better or worse, “his own chief strategist,” Whipple writes.

In Debenedetti’s recap of the 2008 campaign, Biden fumes that “the journalists covering him were too young to understand him,” and complains how the Obama campaign tapes him to a teleprompter and limits his interactions with voters. “I’m not going to grovel to this guy,” he tells one aide, early in his vice presidency.

Thirteen years later, in Foer’s book, Biden “fumed to his friends about how he was treated like a toddler” because he ad-libbed a call for Putin to be removed from power. He has been like this for a long, long time. His senior moments today — this week he said he was at Ground Zero “the next day” after 9/11 (it was nine days) — were trademark gaffes and tall tales in his three presidential campaigns.

Book-buyers don’t seem especially interested in reading more about a figure they’ve seen in politics for decades who is now overseeing a relatively quiet White House. At this point in Donald Trump’s presidency, 47 Trump-related books had hit the New York Times nonfiction list, including two editions of the Mueller Report, two Michael Wolff blockbusters, two Trump tributes by Newt Gingrich (“Understanding Trump” and “Trump’s America”), and a fake memoir from Trump’s SNL stand-in Alec Baldwin.

Fired FBI Director James Comey turned his wash-out into a number one hit, “A Higher Loyalty,” soon joined by fired FBI agent Andrew McCabe’s tell-all “The Threat.” Books on an alleged Russian plot to steal the presidency filled shelves faster than Tolstoy: “Russian Roulette,” “House of Trump, House of Putin,” “Proof of Collusion,” “Collusion,” and, for the defense, “Ball of Collusion.” All of this before Trump’s first impeachment.

Biden had a best-seller then, too — “Promise Me, Dad,” a gutting memoir of his son Beau and his early death from brain cancer. In power, Biden’s enemies see him less as his own man than as Barack Obama’s vice president and Hunter Biden’s dad. Conservative media interest in Obama often out-paces interest in Biden; a lack of stories about Obama manipulating the president becomes evidence that this is happening, and the press is covering it up.

That’s not what the reporters who’ve embedded in the White House have found, but their word doesn’t mean much to media skeptics. What’s mattered is what Roger Ailes called the “orchestra pit theory” — that if a substantive speech is followed by someone stumbling into an orchestra pit, the stumble will make the news. And Biden has a tendency to fall into the orchestra pit.

ROOM FOR DISAGREEMENT

The public-facing part of the presidency is a big part of the job. New York Magazine’s Jonathan Chait questions whether Biden has grown too old to do it, no matter how effective he might be as a manager behind closed doors. “If Biden wanted to dispel concern about his mental acuity, he could submit to challenging interviews,” Chait writes. “The fact that he hasn’t done so suggests that he or his aides are uncertain he could pass muster.”

NOTABLE

  • In The New York Times, economist Adam Tooze reviewed “The Last Politician” as a “thin but telling” argument for the president’s ability to ride a wave; his domestic legislative success is “as much a product of congressional initiative as it is of the White House.”
  • In The Bulwark, Mona Charen advises Biden’s handlers to let him talk. “People have come to believe that he is in sharp mental decline. When you see him in a Q&A, it’s clear that he isn’t.”
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States of Play

New Mexico. On Friday, Democratic Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham issued a public health order, banning open or concealed carry of firearms on any state property. Republicans and Bernalillo County’s sheriff rejected that immediately – and so did some Democrats. Attorney Gen. Raúl Torrez told the governor, in a letter released Tuesday, that the order was constitutionally indefensible, and that he didn’t “believe that the Emergency Order will have any meaningful impact on public safety.”

Kentucky. Hours after House Speaker Kevin McCarthy named Kentucky Rep. James Comer to lead an impeachment inquiry into the president, Kentucky Attorney Gen. Daniel Cameron endorsed it. “Obviously, the American people deserve answers,” said Cameron, standing next to Comer, from the campaign account he’s using as he runs for governor.

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YouTube/School of Freedom Fund

School Freedom Fund, “Monsters.” A Kentucky man, James Hamlin, was arrested on charges of rape and incest in May 2019, and convicted in September 2020. He’s currently in prison with no eligibility for parole until 2029. But he was on a list of convicts on Gov. Andy Beshear pandemic order to allow some prisoners to head home and quarantine, and that fact makes it into this Club for Growth offshoot’s latest ad linking Beshear to sex criminals.

Never Back Down, “Protect Our Kids.” In June, CNN reported on how Donald Trump once “welcomed and praised” transgender women who wanted to compete in the Miss Universe pageant. In July, the DeSantis campaign and its allied super PAC went after Trump on the issue, then dropped it. But the PAC is back at it, arguing in this digital spot that Trump’s tolerance led to everything from Lia Thomas’ swimming victories to Dylan Mulvaney’s Bud Light posts. “Now look where we are,” says a narrator. “Enough of this crap.”

Ohioans United for Reproductive Rights, “Personal.” Abortion rights activists resoundingly beat Issue 1, last month’s effort to change the Ohio Constitution, and pivoted to passing their amendment enshrining abortion access (also, confusingly, called “Issue 1”) with the sort of messaging that’s scored in other states. Five actors appear to represent the Ohioans whose rights need defending — two distraught couples, and one woman in a nondescript doctor’s office. The measure isn’t just about abortion rights, but about “protect[ing] birth control and emergency coverage for miscarriages.”

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Polls

This is ISU’s first look at the 2024 caucus, and it finds more support for Nikki Haley in the state than any other pollster has all year. Like DeSantis, she runs strongest with voters who have college or post-grad degrees, but both still trail Trump, and the ex-president’s lead with voters who have less education — 47 points over DeSantis — overwhelms them. Haley’s been more critical of Trump’s electability, and more supportive of funding for Ukraine’s defense against Russia, than some other candidates, and that’s had an impact. Just 10% of Iowa Republicans list her as their second choice, a smaller share than Vivek Ramaswamy (16%) or Tim Scott (14%).

Voters are in a foul mood about President Biden, and pessimistic about how things are going. That’s been true for two years, and even when conditions have improved, Biden hasn’t benefited. Sixty-six percent of voters think the economy’s in poor shape, and three out of four expect prices to keep rising, even though inflation is back around 3%. The DJI is up 5% since the start of the year, but three in five voters expect it to decline. The (dim) silver lining for Biden: Some of what worries voters are problems they blame on other people, like climate change and encroachments on “personal freedoms.”

California’s Reparations Task Force, created by Democrats in 2020, released its recommendations at the end of June — 200 of them, including cash payments of up to $1.2 million to Californians descended from slaves. By a 60-point margin, black voters, who’ve also been paying the most attention to the task force, approve of the idea. Democrats are split, with 43% in favor and 42% against it. Every other group of voters is opposed, with most explaining that it’s “unfair” to hand money over to one group of people when other demographics have overcome hardship, too.

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2024
Scott Olson/Getty Images

White House. Donald Trump returned to the trail with a Friday rally in South Dakota, celebrating “Monumental Leaders,” where Gov Kristi Noem indulged in a little speculation that she could be his running mate; a “Trump Noem ‘24” sign briefly appeared onscreen.

On Monday, Ron DeSantis headed to New York’s Ground Zero to join in 9/11 commemorations; Vice President Harris appeared on behalf of the White House. Mike Pence traveled to northeast Iowa on Tuesday; Nikki Haley arrives in the region on Friday, ahead of a candidate forum organized by the state’s Faith and Freedom Coalition. And on Wednesday, Vivek Ramaswamy will appear at the D.C.-based America First Policy Institute to discuss the “previously under-reported legal and constitutional basis” for his plan to fire most of the federal workforce.

The Democratic National Committee, which has already endorsed the president’s re-election, will hold Rules & Bylaws meeting on Thursday – typically, not a huge source of news. But Robert F. Kennedy, Jr.’s campaign has focused on the meeting as a pivot point in a potentially “rigged” primary.

“The DNC this week is voting on a rule to make it so that, if any candidate steps into New Hampshire, any vote for them cast in Georgia will not count,” Kennedy told NewsNation on Monday. Democrats aren’t really sure what he’s talking about, as the rules that determine state delegate counts and potential penalties were passed a year ago. (In a separate interview with Forbes, which made it on Fox News prime time, Kennedy claimed that the DNC would only award zero New Hampshire and Iowa delegates to candidates who compete in those states, which have been pushed down the party primary calendar but are holding early contests anyway.)

House. Nancy Pelosi announced on Friday that she’d seek re-election to her San Francisco seat, ending months of speculation about who would run to replace her. Pelosi, for whom Democrats coined the term Speaker Emeritus, broke the news to labor supporters, then released a statement. Potential successors like Sen. Scott Wiener stood down, congratulating the 83-year old Pelosi on her decision and hinting that they wouldn’t challenge her. (Pelosi hasn’t faced real intra-party competition in her safe seat since 2020, when activist Shahid Buttar made the November ballot and lost by 55 points.)

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Next
  • 15 days until the second GOP presidential debate
  • 32 days until elections in Louisiana
  • 56 days until elections in Kentucky, Louisiana, New Jersey, Mississippi, and Virginia
  • 125 days until the Iowa caucuses
  • 421 days until the 2024 presidential election
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