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In today’s edition, we look at how the slump in demand for compute power in the crypto industry open͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌ 
 
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October 25, 2023
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Technology

Technology
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Reed Albergotti
Reed Albergotti

Hi, and welcome back to Semafor Tech.

In the tech industry, bottlenecks can actually be helpful. Right now, there are very real, very big ideas in AI, and there are people and companies willing to put money and time into them. But there are constraints: There aren’t enough processors, or GPUs, available. And the power consumption involved in running massive AI models can be prohibitive.

These are actually good problems to have. It means there have been breakthroughs in computer science and there’s a clear roadmap of how those advances will lead to new products, companies, and economic growth.

In the meantime, people are forced to get creative. Researchers are figuring out ingenious ways to shrink AI models down, squeezing more out of less. They’re coming up with complex ways of routing your prompts to chatbots like ChatGPT so they retrieve the next word as economically as possible.

And, as you’ll read below, some smaller startups and researchers are finding GPUs in an unlikely place: the blockchain. Remember that? A couple of years ago, it was all the rage until crypto fell out of favor. It turns out blockchain technology is a pretty well developed tool for allowing people to charge for GPU time.

I think we’ll be seeing a lot more creativity and innovation aimed simply at squeezing through the bottlenecks that AI now faces.

Move Fast/Break Things

Getty Images via NurPhoto/Mateusz Wlodarczyk

➚ MOVE FAST: Google. The tech giant inked a deal to build undersea internet cables connecting at least eight island nations in the Pacific Ocean. It may also get its turn this week to defend itself in the U.S. government antitrust trial, after enduring weeks of testimony about its alleged monopoly on the search engine market.

➘ BREAK THINGS: Google. Despite the AI hype, its cloud business grew slower in the third quarter than analysts expected, while rival Microsoft, which focused on business customers, experienced the opposite. That sent shares of Google parent Alphabet tumbling by about 9% this morning.

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Artificial Flavor

Researchers from the University of Chicago unveiled a new tool designed to help artists fight back against AI companies scraping their work without permission. Nightshade inserts pixels into images that are undetectable to the human eye but will confuse an automated classifier about what is depicted in them. A painting of a dog, say, might be incorrectly labeled as a blender, or vice versa. These types of “adversarial examples” have long confounded AI tools. For instance, researchers from MIT previously fooled Google’s image classifier into mistaking a rifle for a helicopter.

Unsplash/David Clode
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Reed Albergotti

The AI boom’s chip shortage has an unlikely hero: the blockchain

THE SCENE

Blockchain and crypto have been criticized for years as a “solution in search of a problem.”

Now some industry entrepreneurs may have found the problem: A shortage of compute power needed to train AI models.

The solution: Researchers and startups that can’t get graphics processing units (GPUs) can use blockchain-based markets to quickly and easily access compute power for a fraction of what major providers charge.

Bitcoin miners and others spurred an arms race for GPUs needed to conduct calculations to keep systems running, but demand slumped when the digital currency market collapsed last year. Now instead of simply cannibalizing the struggling crypto industry, some AI companies are leaning on the blockchain to distribute those same GPUs.

Ishan Dhanani, a computer science graduate student at Columbia University, is an example of how upstarts are getting around GPU shortages through the blockchain. He wanted to start fine tuning Meta’s LLama2 open-source AI model to experiment on it, but ran into the reality that huge companies have swallowed up most of the compute power.

He couldn’t obtain any through market leader Amazon Web Services, and smaller providers were always sold out. Getting access through Columbia was also a headache.

That led him to the Akash Network, one of a handful of companies that have created protocols to allow owners of GPUs to rent them out on the blockchain, earning tokens for every minute the GPU is utilized. Dhanani was able to access a $15,000 Nvidia A100 for $1.10 per hour through Akash. It took him about seven hours to complete his work, for about the cost of a beer.

Companies like Akash can offer cheaper access partly because the protocols are set up to run on their own, like a version of Airbnb or Uber without those companies taking commissions. Community members on the blockchain, incentivized with tokens, handle the nuts and bolts of the operation. As a result, the costs are low, with nobody except for the owners of the GPUs earning any significant revenue on the transaction.

The experience spurred Dhanani and two friends to launch Agora Labs a few months ago to help what he calls “the GPU poor” more easily book time on GPUs via the blockchain.“ The OpenAIs and Anthropics can’t be the only ones that have the power to train and host models like ChatGPT,” he said.

UK-based Gensyn, which recently announced a $43 million Series A funding round, represents a huge venture capital bet that blockchain has a future facilitating the sale of GPU time for the AI industry.

Gensyn is building a system that would vastly simplify the pricing model for training in AI, according to an interview with the company’s co-founders. Instead of paying for time on a GPU, Gensyn plans to estimate the overall time and cost of the training job and then spread the tasks around to computers all around the world, searching for the best prices.

That strategy involves tackling a thorny technological problem: The more spread out the compute resources are, the more complicated the training gets.

Gensyn co-founder Harry Grieve said when he was earning his PhD in deep learning, the scarcity of compute resources meant he was unable to fully complete his research in automating the development of AI models.

“The only people who could do that research were Google and Microsoft,” he said. “I realized if I was in that position, a lot of other people in the world were in that position, which meant we weren’t moving as quickly towards a machine-learning future as we could be.”

For Reed's view and the rest of the story, read here. →

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Semafor Stat

Number of Snapchat daily active users, a 12% increase year-over-year, according to the company’s latest earnings report. Snap’s revenue also grew 5% to $1.2 billion in the third quarter, signaling the digital advertising market is starting to come out of its slump.

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What We’re Tracking
  • A group of AI researchers published another open letter calling on tech companies and world leaders to address potential risks from the technology. It calls for less stringent measures than the “pause” letter from March, but does recommend that new AI models be registered with the government — something that Chinese authorities already require.
  • The Frontier Model Forum, an industry group for AI companies formed earlier this year by Microsoft, Anthropic, Google, and OpenAI, announced the appointment of its first executive director, Chris Meserole, who was previously head of the Artificial Intelligence and Emerging Technology Initiative at the Brookings Institution. The forum also announced it had raised $10 million to conduct research on AI safety from former Google CEO Eric Schmidt and other philanthropic partners.
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Release Notes

Xreal
  • Chinese company Xreal unveiled new augmented reality glasses yesterday in the United Kingdom and some European markets. The Xreal Air 2 start at $399 and are lightweight compared to bulkier headsets from companies like Meta and Apple.
  • TikTok is hosting its first in-person music festival in Arizona on December 10, featuring headliners like Cardi B and One Direction singer Niall Horan. The move is another sign of the app’s growing influence on the music industry.
  • Telegram has restricted access to some channels run by the Palestinian militant group Hamas on Android devices, according to CNBC. The widely popular app — started by two brothers from Russia in 2013 — has been criticized in the past for its lax approach to content moderation.
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Watchdogs

Reuters/Elijah Nouvelag

California put the brakes on General Motors-owned Cruise’s self-driving taxi service, potentially giving a bigger opening to Google’s Waymo unit. The state’s Department of Motor Vehicles said that Cruise withheld some video footage from the agency related to an ongoing investigation into an accident, which Cruise denies.

Meanwhile, in August, California gave Waymo the green light to begin charging riders for its autonomous ride-hailing service in San Francisco. A recent joint study between Waymo and insurer Swiss Re found that over 3.8 million miles driven without a human driver, there were zero bodily injury claims in Waymo vehicles compared to a human driver baseline of 1.11 claims per million miles.

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Hot On Semafor
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  • Do four guilty pleas in Georgia spell trouble for Trump?
  • Team Biden is on a mission to convince voters Trump’s age is an issue too.
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