 The first person I met with when I arrived in Davos over the weekend was Chris Lehane, OpenAI’s chief global affairs officer. (That is, unless you include the people I met on the slopes.) Lehane was about to publish a blog post entitled “How to win as an AI populist.” It was a more concise version of a strategy Lehane had been sharing with political candidates seeking his advice on how to talk about AI leading up to the US midterms. Before he was a tech guy, Lehane was a political guy, serving former President Bill Clinton and other Democrats. In his memo, Lehane urges politicians to find the popular middle that will allow candidates to support AI progress while also protecting people from its harmful effects. As I thought more about his suggestions this week in Davos, it became clear to me that the changes underway, which will have deep effects on the economy and culture, are broader than AI. What’s really happening is that we’re entering a period of scientific acceleration. It’s artificial intelligence, quantum computing, nuclear fusion, biology, space travel, and other fields, all conspiring to make everything feel off-kilter. Massive change, though, also tends to create unprecedented economic growth. The question is whether everyday people will own a piece of that growth, or if the benefits will remain with the companies and investors behind the technology. In the post-WWII economic boom, Americans, for the most part, got a piece of the pie. In the 1990s tech boom, too many were left out. What Lehane is essentially saying, though he didn’t put it exactly this way, is that the AI backlash can be a useful tool to enact populist policies that would have been a good idea anyway. In the US, that will depend on whether self-destructive politics will allow a bipartisan policy response to AI. It would require a pretty big pendulum swing away from this politically toxic era — but if this year’s Davos is any indication, pretty much everything is on the political table. |